By Henry Cisneros, CityView
In the wake of the recent economic downturn, there are significant trends moving beneath the foundation of the real estate industry that are creating a “new normal” for the decade ahead. For the first time in history, more people in the world live in urban areas than in rural communities. In the United States, this means that America’s metropolitan areas are the true centers for population and economic growth. At the same time, the sources and flows of global capital have experienced major shifts, reconfiguring funding sources to achieve goals.
We are seeing these trends impact the multifamily development marketplace, which is experiencing a promising resurgence. Of all real estate sectors, multifamily rental seems to be leading the pack in recovery. The CoStar Group predicts a sharp spike in new units for 2012, with more than 22,000 units forecast for 2011. CoStar anticipates that number to jump to more than 94,000 units in 2012 and just over 109,000 units in 2013.
Multifamily is also attracting investment attention thanks to new demographics and increased demand. U.S. Census projections for 2010-2015 indicate 4 million renters are projected to enter the market as home-ownership rates decline; at the same time, an additional 4 million echo boomers will benefit from expected job growth, enabling them to seek independent residences. They are expected to seek out primarily rental properties.
As Jeff Courtwright, executive vice president for the southwest U.S. for Lincoln Property Co., observes, “clearly there is a demographic shift with echo boomers coming of age. Aged 20 to 34, echo boomers are renters 60 percent of the time. As baby boomers are retiring and downsizing, they are another large demographic to target. Both should increase multifamily demand for the near term.”
Read more at MultiHousingNews